Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 46%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	Heracles
46% ( 1.42)	25.96% ( 0.4)	28.04% ( -1.81)

Both teams to score 51.39% (

-2.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.5% (

-2.55)

52.49% (

2.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.84% (

-2.23)

74.16% (

2.23)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.21% (

-0.42)

22.79% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.51% (

-0.63)

56.49% (

0.64)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.55% (

-2.67)

33.45% (

2.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.92% (

-3.03)

70.08% (

3.04)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 45.99%

Heracles 28.04%

Draw 25.96%

Jong PSV	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.97) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.62) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.99%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.36) Other @ 1% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.04%