Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 59.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.