Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Toekomst
Jong Ajax4 - 0Heracles
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Heracles.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-0 Jong Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Almere City | 5 | -2 | 6 |
11 | Jong Ajax | 4 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Dordrecht | 4 | -2 | 4 |
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 MVV
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | VVV-Venlo | 5 | 2 | 12 |
4 | Heracles | 4 | 10 | 10 |
5 | Roda JC | 5 | 4 | 10 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Jong Ajax | Draw | Heracles |
51.59% ( 1.62) | 22.24% ( -0.08) | 26.17% ( -1.53) |
Both teams to score 62.31% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.59% ( -0.88) | 37.41% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.37% ( -0.95) | 59.63% ( 0.95) |
Jong Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.29% ( 0.23) | 14.71% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.09% ( 0.43) | 42.9% ( -0.43) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.05% ( -1.52) | 26.95% ( 1.53) |