Eerste Divisie Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lorenzo Lucca 45' goal
  • Lorenzo Lucca 57' goal
  • Donny Warmerdam 73' goal
  • Donny Warmerdam 81' goal

Jong Ajax vs Heracles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2022 11.15am
ADO Den Haag 4 - 0 Jong Ajax
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kristian Hlynsson

Heracles

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last game
Aug 29, 2022 7.00pm
Heracles 2 - 2 MVV
Goals scored
101
Top scorer
Samuel Armenteros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result

Jong Ajax 51.59% (+1.62)
Draw 22.24% (-0.09)
Heracles 26.17% (-1.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.31% (-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.59% (-0.88)
Under 2.5 37.41% (+0.88)
Over 3.5 40.37% (-0.96)
Under 3.5 59.63% (+0.96)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 85.29% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 14.71% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 57.09% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 42.9% (-0.44)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5 73.05% (-1.53)
Under 0.5 26.95% (+1.53)
Over 1.5 37.72% (-2.05)
Under 1.5 62.28% (+2.05)

Score analysis

Jong Ajax 51.59%
Draw 22.24%
Heracles 26.17%
Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.55% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 7.6% (+0.38)
2-0 @ 7.28% (+0.42)
3-1 @ 6.1% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 4.65% (+0.31)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.92% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 2.23% (+0.17)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.12% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 51.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.96% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 3.96% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.24%
Heracles
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.24)
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.24)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 26.17%