MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 22:30:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Toekomst
Heracles Almelo

Jong Ajax
4 - 0
Heracles

Lucca (45', 57'), Warmerdam (73', 81')
Lucca (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Heracles.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-0 Jong Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 MVV
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawHeracles
51.59% (1.617 1.62) 22.24% (-0.084 -0.08) 26.17% (-1.534 -1.53)
Both teams to score 62.31% (-1.131 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.59% (-0.879 -0.88)37.41% (0.879 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.37% (-0.952 -0.95)59.63% (0.951 0.95)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (0.22799999999999 0.23)14.71% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (0.432 0.43)42.9% (-0.432 -0.43)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (-1.525 -1.52)26.95% (1.526 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (-2.042 -2.04)62.28% (2.042 2.04)
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 51.59%
    Heracles 26.17%
    Draw 22.24%
Jong AjaxDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.147 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.378 0.38)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.417 0.42)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.161 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.96% (0.166 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.17%

How you voted: Jong Ajax vs Heracles

Jong Ajax
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Heracles
40.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior18114338191937
2FC VolendamVolendam18113442241836
3De GraafschapDe Graafschap1895440281232
4Dordrecht189543326732
5EmmenEmmen1894531201131
6Helmond SportHelmond189452824431
7Roda JC188642523230
8Den BoschDen Bosch188553021929
9Cambuur189272617929
10ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag186753025525
11FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven187472427-325
12TelstarTelstar185852724323
13MVV MaastrichtMVV184862529-420
14TOP OssOss184771431-1719
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax184681922-318
16Jong AZJong AZ1853103037-718
17Jong PSVJong PSV1852112634-817
18VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo1833121434-2012
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht1817101536-2110
20Vitesse183782238-16-11


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