Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and MVV Maastricht.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jong PSV 0-3 Heracles
Monday, August 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Monday, August 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | FC Eindhoven | 4 | 5 | 12 |
3 | Heracles | 3 | 10 | 9 |
4 | Jong AZ | 4 | 4 | 9 |
Last Game: MVV 3-1 ADO Den Haag
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | VVV-Venlo | 4 | 1 | 9 |
8 | MVV Maastricht | 3 | 2 | 6 |
9 | Almere City | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
72.95% ( 0.13) | 16.78% ( 0.11) | 10.26% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 47.91% ( -1.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% ( -1.29) | 40.12% ( 1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.51% ( -1.35) | 62.48% ( 1.35) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.42% ( -0.3) | 9.58% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.94% ( -0.7) | 32.06% ( 0.7) |
MVV Maastricht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.99% ( -1.33) | 47.01% ( 1.33) |