Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 10.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Heracles	Draw	MVV Maastricht
72.95% ( 0.13)	16.78% ( 0.11)	10.26% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 47.91% (

-1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.88% (

-1.29)

40.12% (

1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.51% (

-1.35)

62.48% (

1.35)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.42% (

-0.3)

9.58% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.94% (

-0.7)

32.06% (

0.7)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.99% (

-1.33)

47.01% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.5% (

-1.02)

82.49% (

1.03)

Score Analysis

Heracles 72.94%

MVV Maastricht 10.26%

Draw 16.78%

Heracles	Draw	MVV Maastricht
2-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.48) 3-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.6% Total : 72.94%	1-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.78% Total : 16.78%	0-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 10.26%