Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 11.15am UK
De Geusselt

MVV
1 - 1
Roda JC

FT(HT: 1-0)
Postema (90')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Roda JC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawRoda JC
20.73% (0.331 0.33)22.61% (-0.055000000000003 -0.06)56.66% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 54.11% (0.696 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (0.678 0.68)45.11% (-0.672 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.55% (0.645 0.64)67.45% (-0.64 -0.64)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2% (0.721 0.72)35.8% (-0.715 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.42% (0.732 0.73)72.58% (-0.727 -0.73)
Roda JC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (0.145 0.14)15.71% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.21% (0.265 0.27)44.79% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 20.73%
    Roda JC 56.66%
    Draw 22.61%
MVV MaastrichtDrawRoda JC
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-1 @ 5.49% (0.082 0.08)
2-0 @ 2.97% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.88% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 20.73%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 10.41% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 9.63% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 6.11% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.94% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.077 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.83% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.042 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.05% (0.016 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 56.66%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2022 8pm
Roda JC
1-0
MVV
Pflucke (47')
Bouchouari (35')

van Bommel (32'), Alberg (53'), Remans (58')
Nov 29, 2021 12pm
MVV
1-1
Roda JC
Ntelo (57')
Keulen (81')
Emmers (62')
Apr 12, 2021 7pm
MVV
2-4
Roda JC
Deom (12'), Mickels (19')
Soumaoro (41'), Blummel (66'), Deom (71'), Kostons (76')
Van Acker (50')
Pflucke (23'), Jensen (34', 62'), Serrarens (42')
Bouchouari (11')
Nov 14, 2020 8pm
Roda JC
2-0
MVV
Bakker (27'), Alberg (90+4' pen.)
Bouchouari (38'), Pflucke (69'), Croux (80')

Heerings (26'), Zamouri (69'), Last (80')
Salasiwa (90+3')
Jan 12, 2020 11.15am
Roda JC
2-2
MVV
Alberg (90'), Ugbo (91')
Schroyen (68'), Kostons (88')
Deom (78')
rhs 2.0


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