Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
