Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 11.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
