Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.