Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2022 at 7pm UK
Polman Stadion
Heracles8 - 1Dordrecht
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and Dordrecht.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roda JC 1-3 Heracles
Sunday, December 11 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Sunday, December 11 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Oss 0-1 Dordrecht
Sunday, December 11 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Sunday, December 11 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Dordrecht |
70.7% ( -0.08) | 16.99% ( -0.02) | 12.3% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.82% ( 0.38) | 35.18% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.81% ( 0.43) | 57.19% ( -0.43) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.15% ( 0.08) | 8.85% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.7% ( 0.19) | 30.3% ( -0.2) |
Dordrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.87% ( 0.42) | 40.13% ( -0.42) |