Heracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2022 at 7pm UK
Polman Stadion

Heracles
8 - 1
Dordrecht

Armenteros (8', 45+2', 56'), Hansson (37', 81', 83'), Bruns (39'), Laursen (61')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Balde (33')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and Dordrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last Game: Roda JC 1-3 Heracles
Sunday, December 11 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Dordrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Oss 0-1 Dordrecht
Sunday, December 11 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 12.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawDordrecht
70.7% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)16.99% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)12.3% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.57% (0.431 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.82% (0.383 0.38)35.18% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.81% (0.425 0.43)57.19% (-0.429 -0.43)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.15% (0.076000000000008 0.08)8.85% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.7% (0.193 0.19)30.3% (-0.195 -0.2)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.87% (0.41999999999999 0.42)40.13% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.23% (0.38 0.38)76.77% (-0.384 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 70.69%
    Dordrecht 12.3%
    Draw 16.99%
HeraclesDrawDordrecht
2-0 @ 10.43% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-0 @ 8.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.71% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.67% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.052 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.27% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.039 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 1% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 70.69%
1-1 @ 7.86% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.99%
1-2 @ 3.59% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.48% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.09% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 12.3%

Head to Head
Apr 4, 2015 7.45pm
Dordrecht
2-3
Heracles
Pisas (18'), Van Overeem (23')
Haddad (74')
Linssen (8', 86'), Weghorst (71')
Zomer (61')
> Match Report
Dec 12, 2014 7pm
Heracles
1-1
Dordrecht
Tannane (72' pen.)
Koolwijk (3')
Peersman (61')
> Match Report