Eerste Divisie Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2022 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Justin Hoogma 26' goal
  • Mateo Les 33' goal
  • Marco Rente 61' goal

Heracles vs FC Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Oct 14, 2022 7.00pm
PEC Zwolle 3 - 2 Heracles
Goals scored
101
Top scorer
Samuel Armenteros

FC Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Oct 14, 2022 7.00pm
FC Eindhoven 2 - 1 Oss
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Charles-Andreas Brym

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result

Heracles 63.1% (+0.04)
Draw 20.37% (-0.04)
FC Eindhoven 16.52% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.79% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.28% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 41.72% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 35.87% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 64.12% (-0.15)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5 87.39% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 12.6% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 61.29% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 38.71% (-0.12)

FC Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 61.54% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 38.46% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 24.79% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 75.21% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Heracles 63.09%
Draw 20.37%
FC Eindhoven 16.52%
Heracles
2-0 @ 10.39% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 7.18% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.72% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.55% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 63.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.75% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.37%
FC Eindhoven
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.58% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 16.52%