Heracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Polman Stadion

Heracles
3 - 0
FC Eindhoven

Hoogma (26'), Les (33'), Rente (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and FC Eindhoven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 3-2 Heracles
Friday, October 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

FC Eindhoven

All competitions
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 2-1 Oss
Friday, October 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawFC Eindhoven
63.1% (0.036999999999999 0.04)20.37% (-0.032 -0.03)16.52% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 53.79% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28% (0.149 0.15)41.72% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87% (0.149 0.15)64.12% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39% (0.058999999999997 0.06)12.6% (-0.057 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.29% (0.117 0.12)38.71% (-0.115 -0.12)
FC Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.54% (0.086999999999996 0.09)38.46% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.79% (0.084 0.08)75.21% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 63.09%
    FC Eindhoven 16.52%
    Draw 20.37%
HeraclesDrawFC Eindhoven
2-0 @ 10.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 7.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 63.09%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 16.52%

rhs 2.0


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