Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 10

Oct 7, 2022 at 7pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
3 - 2
De Graafschap

Hansson (5'), Armenteros (49'), Bruns (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

de Jong (18'), Gravenberch (71')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and De Graafschap.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Den Bosch 1-2 Heracles
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

De Graafschap

All competitions

Last Game: De Graafschap 2-0 Jong AZ
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for De Graafschap had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a De Graafschap win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	De Graafschap
57.77% ( 1.03)	21.14% ( -0.22)	21.09% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 59.76% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.09% (

-0.01)

37.91% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.84% (

-0.01)

60.16% (

0.01)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05% (

0.3)

12.95% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.58% (

0.61)

39.41% (

-0.61)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.64% (

-0.73)

31.36% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.28% (

-0.85)

67.72% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Heracles 57.77%

De Graafschap 21.09%

Draw 21.14%

Heracles	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.8% Total : 57.77%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.14%	1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.65% Total : 21.09%