Heracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 at 8pm UK
Polman Stadion

Heracles
2 - 0
Helmond

Schoofs (48'), Nankishi (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telstar 0-3 Heracles
Friday, September 16 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 2-1 Dordrecht
Friday, September 16 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 73.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 10.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Heracles in this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawHelmond Sport
73.32% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)16.06% (0.026 0.03)10.62% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.6% (0.099999999999994 0.1)35.4% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.57% (0.11 0.11)57.43% (-0.108 -0.11)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)8.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.01% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.87% (0.206 0.21)43.13% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.6% (0.17 0.17)79.4% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 73.32%
    Helmond Sport 10.62%
    Draw 16.06%
HeraclesDrawHelmond Sport
2-0 @ 11.09% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.2% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.01% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 73.32%
1-1 @ 7.5% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.06%
1-2 @ 3.16% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 10.62%