Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 at 7pm UK
Rabobank IJmond Stadion

Telstar
2 - 1
Helmond

Blommestijn (45+2'), Plet (71' pen.)
Aktas (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
van Hove (14')
Beugelsdijk (11'), Lorentzen (42'), van der Meer (87')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Telstar

Last Six:
Last Game: Willem II 2-1 Telstar
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Helmond Sport

Last Six:
Last Game: Helmond 0-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.

Result
TelstarDrawHelmond Sport
45.46% (0.14400000000001 0.14)25.45% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)29.09% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.67% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)49.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)71.83% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.064999999999998 0.06)21.9% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (0.099000000000004 0.1)55.16% (-0.101 -0.1)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)31.27% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.38% (-0.11 -0.11)67.62% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 45.46%
    Helmond Sport 29.09%
    Draw 25.45%
TelstarDrawHelmond Sport
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 45.46%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.85%
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 29.09%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 7pm
Helmond
2-2
Telstar
Van Keilegom (42'), Goselink (69')
Smit (17'), Van Doorm (62')
Akoy (45+3')
Tugarinov (32')
Oct 22, 2021 7pm
Telstar
2-2
Helmond
Bensabouh (31'), Dijkstra (33')
Zakir (48')
Van Landschoot (37'), Goselink (71')
De Bie (25'), Vereijken (29')
Jan 29, 2021 5.45pm
Helmond
1-1
Telstar
Duijvestijn (32')
Pattynama (68')
Najah (66'), Cagro (90+2')
Oct 23, 2020 5.45pm
Telstar
2-0
Helmond
Soto (49', 63')
May 1, 2020 7pm
Telstar
P-P
Helmond