Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Braak

Helmond
3 - 0
Almere City

Kaars (12', 71'), Lorentzen (52')
van Hove (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Helmond Sport and Almere City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Helmond SportDrawAlmere City
26.52% (-0.067 -0.07)24.56% (0.050999999999998 0.05)48.92% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.64% (-0.235 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32% (-0.281 -0.28)47.68% (0.281 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-0.259 -0.26)69.88% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.205 -0.2)32.1% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (-0.233 -0.23)68.57% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (-0.104 -0.1)19.54% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.56% (-0.172 -0.17)51.44% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Helmond Sport 26.52%
    Almere City 48.91%
    Draw 24.55%
Helmond SportDrawAlmere City
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 26.52%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 8.36% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.55% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 48.91%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2022 7pm
Almere City
3-0
Helmond
Duijvestijn (21' pen.), Lion (45+1' og.), Van Leeuwen (52')
Jacobs (60')

Lion (20'), van der Sluys (47'), van der Meer (74')
Nov 1, 2021 7pm
Helmond
1-2
Almere City
Van Landschoot (43')
Dolet (90+4')
Arweiler (7', 12')
Tunga (90+5')
Feb 16, 2021 3.30pm
Helmond
2-1
Almere City
Goselink (28'), Duijvestijn (81')
Verheydt (86')
Sep 25, 2020 5.45pm
Almere City
2-0
Helmond
Ahannach (64'), Blackson (67')
van Vlerken (17'), Harrison (65')

Stans (18'), Duijvestijn (37'), Reith (76'), Bosiers (86')
Feb 28, 2020 7pm
Almere City
2-0
Helmond
Verheydt (35' pen., 52')
Venema (88')

Klomp (82')