Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 9, 2022 at 7pm UK
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Jong Utrecht
2 - 0
Helmond

Ikeshita (45+2'), Lottin (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong FC Utrecht and Helmond Sport.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Jong FC UtrechtDrawHelmond Sport
40.4% (0.073999999999998 0.07)26.15% (0.012 0.01)33.44% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 53.28% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.8% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)51.2% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)73.04% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Jong FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)24.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (0.020000000000003 0.02)59.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (-0.080999999999989 -0.08)28.99% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (-0.1 -0.1)64.88% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Jong FC Utrecht 40.4%
    Helmond Sport 33.44%
    Draw 26.15%
Jong FC UtrechtDrawHelmond Sport
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 40.4%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 7.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 33.44%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2022 7pm
Jong Utrecht
3-2
Helmond
Rijks (21'), Robert Shein (50'), Sellouf (87' pen.)
Beekman (26'), Goselink (72')
Sep 17, 2021 7pm
Helmond
0-3
Jong Utrecht
Mokono (44'), El Azrak (50'), Van der Kust (90+1')
Ikeshita (90+3')
Mar 19, 2021 7pm
Helmond
2-1
Jong Utrecht
Vereijken (21', 60')
Mallahi (57')
Nov 20, 2020 8pm
Jong Utrecht
2-1
Helmond
Velanas (1'), Hilterman (88')
Pieters (51'), Lonwijk (63')
Duijvestijn (25')
De Bie (87'), Reith (90')
Apr 10, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0


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