Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.