Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Den Bosch	Draw	Heracles
34.94% ( 0.44)	25.84% ( 0.6)	39.21% ( -1.04)

Both teams to score 54.63% (

-1.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.4% (

-2.58)

49.6% (

2.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.37% (

-2.36)

71.62% (

2.36)

Den Bosch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

-0.97)

27.28% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28% (

-1.27)

62.72% (

1.27)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

-1.69)

24.87% (

1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.52% (

-2.42)

59.48% (

2.41)

Score Analysis

Den Bosch 34.94%

Heracles 39.21%

Draw 25.84%

Den Bosch	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.94%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.69) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.21%