Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Heracles Almelo

Almere City
3 - 2
Heracles

Resink (48'), Alhaft (49'), Jacobs (67')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Armenteros (5'), Hansson (25')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Almere City and Heracles.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions
Last Game: Willem II 1-1 Almere City
Friday, October 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Heracles

All competitions
Last Game: Heracles 3-0 FC Eindhoven
Friday, October 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawHeracles
46.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)24.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)29.26% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 57.94% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)44.29% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)66.66% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)19.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.16% (0.011999999999993 0.01)50.84% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)28.32% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (0.011000000000003 0.01)64.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 46.54%
    Heracles 29.26%
    Draw 24.19%
Almere CityDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.34%
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.82%
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.26%

How you voted: Almere City vs Heracles

Almere City
36.4%
Draw
27.3%
Heracles
36.4%
11
rhs 2.0


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