Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.