Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.