Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
GN Bouw Stadion

Dordrecht
3 - 4
Jong Ajax

Longo (31'), Pinas (40'), Suray (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hlynsson (10', 78'), Rasmussen (47'), Hansen (49')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Dordrecht and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dordrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Telstar 2-2 Dordrecht
Friday, October 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-2 Willem II
Monday, October 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
DordrechtDrawJong Ajax
29.67% (0.374 0.37)23.49% (0.495 0.5)46.83% (-0.866 -0.87)
Both teams to score 60.67% (-1.534 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.2% (-2.126 -2.13)40.8% (2.129 2.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.81% (-2.209 -2.21)63.19% (2.213 2.21)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (-0.82600000000001 -0.83)26.29% (0.828 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.59% (-1.113 -1.11)61.41% (1.117 1.12)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (-1.144 -1.14)17.68% (1.147 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.68% (-2.022 -2.02)48.32% (2.025 2.03)
Score Analysis
    Dordrecht 29.67%
    Jong Ajax 46.83%
    Draw 23.49%
DordrechtDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.098 0.1)
1-0 @ 6.21% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.209 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.438 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.49%
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.477 0.48)
0-2 @ 6.98% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.38% (-0.212 -0.21)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.231 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 46.83%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2022 7pm
Dordrecht
3-3
Jong Ajax
Suray (34'), Miceli (37'), Donkor (60')
Savastano (77'), van Huizen (90')
Vos (31'), Rasmussen (62'), Hlynsson (90+2' pen.)
Raatsie (86'), Fitz-Jim (90+4')
van der Sloot (85')
Aug 16, 2021 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-2
Dordrecht
De Waal (33')
Douglas (90+7')
Agrafiotis (84', 90')
Agrafiotis (10'), Holscher (52'), Baggerman (73')
Feb 15, 2021 5.45pm
Jong Ajax
1-2
Dordrecht
Traore (54')
Taylor (76')
Llansana (86')
Bannis (77' pen.), Muringen (84')
Schuurman (54')
Nov 28, 2020 3.30pm
Dordrecht
3-1
Jong Ajax
Schuurman (6'), Jansen (43'), Dos Santos (77')
Vermeulen (63'), Jansen (74'), Vicario (85')
Brobbey (45+1')
Jan 20, 2020 7pm
Jong Ajax
2-0
Dordrecht
Maduro (55'), Mendez (74' pen.)

El Bouchataoui (39'), Gravenberch (80'), Breedijk (87')