/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwillog.png)
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Sontje Hansen
21'
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Jeremy Bokila
48'
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Lucas Woudenberg
75'
Jong Ajax vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result
Jong Ajax
43.07%
▲
(+2.17)
Draw
23.19%
▲
(+0.16)
Willem II
33.74%
▼
(-2.33)
Both Teams to Score:
63.83%
▼
(-1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.5%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 2.5
37.5%
▲
(+1.33)
Over 3.5
40.27%
▼
(-1.44)
Under 3.5
59.73%
▲
(+1.44)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
82.12%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 0.5
17.88%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 1.5
51.34%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 1.5
48.66%
▼
(-0.62)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5
77.73%
▼
(-1.82)
Under 0.5
22.27%
▲
(+1.81)
Over 1.5
44.29%
▼
(-2.80)
Under 1.5
55.71%
▲
(+2.79)
Score analysis
Jong Ajax
43.07%
Draw
23.18%
Willem II
33.74%
Jong Ajax
2-1
@
8.86%
▲
(+0.29)
1-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.51)
2-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.50)
3-1 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.33)
4-1 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.13)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 43.07%
1-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.51)
2-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.50)
3-1 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.33)
4-1 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.13)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 43.07%
Draw
1-1
@
10.29%
▲
(+0.22)
2-2 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.18%
2-2 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.18%
Willem II
1-2
@
7.73%
▼
(-0.27)
0-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.36)
2-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.24)
1-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.23)
2-4 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 33.74%
0-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.36)
2-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.24)
1-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.23)
2-4 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 33.74%