Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Willem II
21.16% ( 0.03)	22.43% ( 0.01)	56.41% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 55.37% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.26% (

0.01)

43.74% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.87% (

66.13% (

-0)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39% (

0.03)

34.61% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67% (

0.03)

71.33% (

-0.03)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.68% (

-0.01)

15.32% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.94% (

-0.02)

44.05% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 21.16%

Willem II 56.41%

Draw 22.42%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.16%	1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.42%	0-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.74% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.54% 1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.41%