Eerste Divisie Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2022 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Marco Kleinen 70' goal
  • Koen Kostons 86' goal
  • Rein Van Helden 90'+5' goal
  • goal Michael de Leeuw 4'
  • goal Nick Doodeman 18'

MVV Maastricht vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2022 8.00pm
Dordrecht 1 - 2 MVV
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Ruben van Bommel

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2022 8.00pm
Oss 1 - 3 Willem II
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Elton Kabangu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

MVV Maastricht 21.16% (+0.03)
Draw 22.43% (+0.01)
Willem II 56.41% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.37% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.26% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 43.74% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 33.87% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.13% (-0.01)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 65.39% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.61% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.67% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.33% (-0.03)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 84.68% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 15.32% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 55.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 44.05% (+0.02)

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 21.16%
Draw 22.42%
Willem II 56.41%
MVV Maastricht
1-0 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 21.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55%
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.42%
Willem II
0-1 @ 9.95% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.33% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.19% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.84% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.9% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.54%
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 56.41%