Eerste Divisie Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Martijn Kaars 62' goal
  • goal Jesse Bosch 22'
  • goal Nick Doodeman 27'
  • goal Michael de Leeuw 48'

Helmond Sport vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2022 7.00pm
Jong Ajax 0 - 1 Helmond
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2022 7.00pm
Willem II 1 - 2 Den Bosch
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Elton Kabangu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result

Helmond Sport 25.04% (+0.06)
Draw 24.37% (-0.01)
Willem II 50.59% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.87% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.96% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 48.04% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 29.79% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 70.21% (-0.06)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5 66.51% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 33.49% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 29.87% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 70.13% (-0.08)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 81% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.44% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.56% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Helmond Sport 25.04%
Draw 24.36%
Willem II 50.58%
Helmond Sport
1-0 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.32% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.81% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 25.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.36%
Willem II
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.31%
0-3 @ 4.86% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 50.58%