Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Helmond Sport	Draw	Willem II
25.04% ( 0.05)	24.37% ( -0)	50.59% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 53.87% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

0.06)

48.04% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

0.05)

70.21% (

-0.05)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51% (

0.07)

33.49% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.87% (

0.08)

70.13% (

-0.08)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81% (

19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.44% (

0.01)

50.56% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Helmond Sport 25.04%

Willem II 50.58%

Draw 24.36%

Helmond Sport	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.04%	1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.36%	0-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.31% 0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.58%