Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 8
Sep 12, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Toekomst
NAC Breda

Jong Ajax
3 - 1
NAC Breda

Pierie (48'), Misehouy (59'), Giovanni (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van der Sande (23')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and NAC Breda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong Ajax

Last Six:
Last Game: Oss 1-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

NAC Breda

Last Six:
Last Game: De Graafschap 1-1 NAC Breda
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.85%) and 3-1 (6.79%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawNAC Breda
55.92% (0.242 0.24)20.45% (0.074000000000002 0.07)23.62% (-0.313 -0.31)
Both teams to score 66.04% (-0.693 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.7% (-0.726 -0.73)31.3% (0.731 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.26% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)52.74% (0.867 0.87)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)11.34% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.96% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)36.04% (0.372 0.37)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49% (-0.639 -0.64)25.5% (0.644 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)60.35% (0.88699999999999 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 55.92%
    NAC Breda 23.62%
    Draw 20.45%
Jong AjaxDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.3% (0.209 0.21)
3-0 @ 4.97% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.15% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 55.92%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 2.11% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 20.45%
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.95% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Jong Ajax vs NAC Breda

Jong Ajax
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
NAC Breda
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2022 7pm
NAC Breda
0-0
Jong Ajax

Azzagari (70')

Rasmussen (68')
Sep 13, 2021 7pm
Jong Ajax
6-3
NAC Breda
Danilo (10'), Taylor (12'), Jensen (20'), Baas (25'), Regeer (59'), De Waal (78')
Hillen (6'), Jensen (83')
Seuntjens (3', 81'), Haye (70')
Antonia (28'), Bakker (67'), Malone (77')
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
NAC Breda
Mendez (68')
Douglas (71')
Douglas (90+1')
El Allouchi (55' pen.)
Bilate (57')
Oct 2, 2020 8pm
NAC Breda
4-0
Jong Ajax
Van Hooijdonk (9' pen., 32', 74'), Venema (78')
Rosler (61'), Malone (71')

Douglas (8'), Brobbey (53')
Feb 17, 2020 7pm
Jong Ajax
2-4
NAC Breda
Danilo (19'), Brobbey (30')
Ekkelenkamp (24')
Stokkers (40'), El Allouchi (63', 90'), Van der Gaag (71')
Riera (30'), Azzagari (34'), Paul van Hecke (54'), Haye (78')