Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and NAC Breda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oss 1-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Willem II | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Jong Ajax | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | MVV Maastricht | 6 | -3 | 8 |
Last Game: De Graafschap 1-1 NAC Breda
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roda JC | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Willem II | 6 | 1 | 9 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.85%) and 3-1 (6.79%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | NAC Breda |
55.92% ( 0.24) | 20.45% ( 0.07) | 23.62% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 66.04% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
