Eerste Divisie Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Thomas van den Belt 30' goal

PEC Zwolle vs Helmond Sport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
Nov 19, 2022 8.00pm
NAC Breda 0 - 2 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
96
Top scorer
Lennart Thy

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last game
Nov 18, 2022 8.00pm
Helmond 0 - 2 De Graafschap
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result

PEC Zwolle 64.24% (-1.03)
Draw 19.78% (+0.46)
Helmond Sport 15.98% (+0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.6% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.96% (-0.98)
Under 2.5 40.04% (+0.98)
Over 3.5 37.59% (-1.02)
Under 3.5 62.41% (+1.02)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5 88.22% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 11.78% (+0.57)
Over 1.5 63.02% (-1.22)
Under 1.5 36.98% (+1.22)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5 61.9% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 38.1% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 25.13% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 74.86% (-0.12)

Score analysis

PEC Zwolle 64.23%
Draw 19.78%
Helmond Sport 15.98%
PEC Zwolle
2-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 9.91% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.6% (+0.22)
3-0 @ 7.32% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.14)
4-0 @ 3.91% (-0.18)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.08)
5-0 @ 1.67% (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 64.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.26% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.78% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.49% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.78%
Helmond Sport
1-2 @ 4.47% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 4.33% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 2.09% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 15.98%