Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Herdgang

Jong PSV
6 - 0
Helmond

Bakayoko (11' pen.), Savio (38'), Tielemans (51', 68'), Colyn (59'), van Duiven (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong PSV and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MVV 1-1 Jong PSV
Friday, October 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-3 Willem II
Friday, October 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.

Result
Jong PSVDrawHelmond Sport
53.65% (-0.159 -0.16)23.37% (0.085000000000001 0.09)22.98% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.74% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.22% (-0.289 -0.29)45.78% (0.29 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (-0.276 -0.28)68.09% (0.277 0.28)
Jong PSV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)17% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (-0.287 -0.29)47.12% (0.289 0.29)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)34.05% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.26% (-0.099 -0.1)70.74% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Jong PSV 53.65%
    Helmond Sport 22.98%
    Draw 23.36%
Jong PSVDrawHelmond Sport
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 53.65%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 22.98%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2022 7pm
Jong PSV
2-0
Helmond
Fofana (21'), Nassoh (56')

Lion (32'), Bastiaans (83')
Aug 27, 2021 7pm
Helmond
1-0
Jong PSV
Van der Meer (66')
Seys (83')

Antonisse (83')
Feb 23, 2021 8pm
Jong PSV
2-2
Helmond
Sambo (63'), Daverveld (90+4')
Fofana (36'), Bakayoko (54'), Daverveld (89')
Duijvestijn (71', 79')
Joppen (36'), Stans (53'), De Bie (78'), Vereijken (89')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
Helmond
1-0
Jong PSV
Loukili (37')
Apr 13, 2020 1.30pm