Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Telstar win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.