Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 64.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.