Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.