Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.