Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.