Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.