Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.