Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Braak

Helmond
1 - 1
Jong Ajax

van Ooijen (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rasmussen (60')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Helmond Sport and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jong AZ 1-1 Helmond
Monday, January 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-2 Roda JC
Monday, January 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Helmond SportDrawJong Ajax
38.55% (-0.058 -0.06)24.3% (0.018999999999998 0.02)37.15% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.34% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)42.33% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.27% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)64.73% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)21.97% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.74% (-0.103 -0.1)55.26% (0.104 0.1)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)22.68% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.68% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)56.32% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Helmond Sport 38.55%
    Jong Ajax 37.15%
    Draw 24.3%
Helmond SportDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 38.55%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.15%

How you voted: Helmond vs Jong Ajax

Helmond Sport
16.7%
Draw
50.0%
Jong Ajax
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
0-1
Helmond
Lieftink (2')
Chacon (23')
Dec 20, 2021 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
Helmond
Van Landschoot (54')
Oct 1, 2021 7pm
Helmond
3-1
Jong Ajax
Van Landschoot (41', 78'), Dolet (50')
Unuvar (14')
Fitz-Jim (62')
Apr 5, 2021 1.30pm
Helmond
1-1
Jong Ajax
Van Keilegom (55')
van Hoorenbeeck (33'), Vereijken (59')
Unuvar (73')
Llansana (15')
Jan 9, 2021 1pm
Jong Ajax
2-2
Helmond
Pinas (10'), Jensen (44')
Baas (45+1'), Warmerdam (75')
Van Hoorenbeeck (13'), Loukili (29')
De Bie (81')