Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.