Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.