Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 15
Nov 14, 2022 at 7pm UK
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Jong Utrecht
3 - 0
MVV

Sanches Fernandes (15'), Rijks (50', 57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong FC Utrecht and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 0-1 FC Eindhoven
Monday, November 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: MVV 4-0 Helmond
Friday, November 4 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Jong FC UtrechtDrawMVV Maastricht
46.39% (-0.323 -0.32)24.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.98% (0.319 0.32)
Both teams to score 56.28% (0.205 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.62% (0.173 0.17)46.38% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.33% (0.163 0.16)68.67% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)
Jong FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)20.08% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69% (-0.108 -0.11)52.31% (0.106 0.11)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.31400000000001 0.31)29.58% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (0.384 0.38)65.61% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Jong FC Utrecht 46.39%
    MVV Maastricht 28.98%
    Draw 24.63%
Jong FC UtrechtDrawMVV Maastricht
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.39%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 28.98%

How you voted: Jong Utrecht vs MVV

Jong FC Utrecht
24.3%
Draw
10.8%
MVV Maastricht
64.9%
37
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2022 7pm
MVV
2-4
Jong Utrecht
Ntelo (1', 23')
Blummel (53'), Dzepar (84'), Souren (90+2')
Mallahi (32'), Rijks (40'), Waem (47' og.), Maddy (87')
Kluivert (53'), Sanches Fernandes (53'), Mallahi (71'), Ikeshita (75'), Meissen (80')
Aug 9, 2021 7pm
Jong Utrecht
0-1
MVV
Dzepar (37')
Waem (90+2'), A (90+4')
Mar 5, 2021 5.45pm
Jong Utrecht
0-1
MVV
Mickels (24')
Mares (5'), Salasiwa (70')
Jan 8, 2021 5.45pm
MVV
0-2
Jong Utrecht
Velanas (2'), Hilterman (63')
Mar 22, 2020 1.30pm
Jong Utrecht
P-P
MVV