Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.