Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
3 - 1
Den Bosch

Steuckers (7', 84'), Kostons (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
van den Bogert (67')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Den Bosch.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: MVV 1-1 Jong PSV
Friday, October 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Den Bosch

All competitions
Last Game: Den Bosch 3-0 Jong AZ
Friday, October 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawDen Bosch
32.9% (0.692 0.69)24.43% (0.052 0.05)42.67% (-0.745 -0.75)
Both teams to score 58.98% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)43.73% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.12% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (0.41500000000001 0.42)25.7% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (0.559 0.56)60.62% (-0.561 -0.56)
Den Bosch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (-0.342 -0.34)20.61% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (-0.541 -0.54)53.17% (0.54 0.54)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 32.9%
    Den Bosch 42.67%
    Draw 24.42%
MVV MaastrichtDrawDen Bosch
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.106 0.11)
1-0 @ 7.2% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.9%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
0-1 @ 8.37% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.61% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 42.67%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2022 7pm
Den Bosch
3-1
MVV
Ahannach (18', 35'), Berte (90+2')
Mulders (42')
Blummel (65')
Nov 15, 2021 7pm
MVV
0-1
Den Bosch

Essers (51'), Dzepar (90+3')
Van der Heijden (68')
Leijten (43'), van Beijnen (90+1')
May 12, 2021 7pm
MVV
3-1
Den Bosch
Blummel (31'), Kostons (58'), Naudts (68')
Havekotte (84')
Hornkamp (85')
Deijl (80')
Sep 22, 2020 8pm
Den Bosch
2-0
MVV
Moreo Klas (56'), Trotman (63')

Heerings (79')
Feb 28, 2020 7pm
MVV
2-3
Den Bosch
Van den Hurk (54', 73')
van den Hurk (89')
Laukart (72'), Marques (77', 90')
Trotman (84')