Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Telstar win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.