Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.86%) and 0-2 (5.15%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.