/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fherlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwillog.png)
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Antonio Satriano
27'
-
Jizz Hornkamp
88'
Heracles vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result
Heracles
38.47%
▼
(-0.26)
Draw
24.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Willem II
36.53%
▲
(+0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
57.75%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.34%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
45.66%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
32.01%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
67.98%
▼
(-0.06)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5
76.51%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
23.49%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
42.48%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 1.5
57.51%
▲
(+0.16)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5
75.48%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
24.52%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
41.01%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
58.98%
▼
(-0.25)
Score analysis
Heracles
38.47%
Draw
24.99%
Willem II
36.53%
Heracles
2-1
@
8.5%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.47%
1-0 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.47%
Draw
1-1
@
11.72%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.99%
2-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.99%
Willem II
1-2
@
8.24%
▲
(+0.04)
0-1 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 36.53%
0-1 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 36.53%
Sven Sonnenberg
90'+4'
Timon Wellenreuther
55'