Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 25

Feb 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
1 - 1
Willem II

Satriano (27')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hornkamp (88')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and Willem II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: MVV 0-2 Heracles
Monday, February 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 1-0 Dordrecht
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Willem II
38.47% ( -0.26)	24.99% ( -0.01)	36.53% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 57.75% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.34% (

0.06)

45.66% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.01% (

0.05)

67.98% (

-0.06)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.51% (

-0.11)

23.49% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.48% (

-0.16)

57.51% (

0.15)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.48% (

0.17)

24.52% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.01% (

0.24)

58.98% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Heracles 38.47%

Willem II 36.53%

Draw 24.99%

Heracles	Draw	Willem II
2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.47%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.99%	1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 36.53%