Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
61.76% ( -0.4)	19.87% ( 0.09)	18.37% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 59.54% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.98% (

0.07)

36.02% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.88% (

0.08)

58.12% (

-0.07)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.75% (

-0.08)

11.25% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.17% (

-0.19)

35.83% (

0.18)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.09% (

0.36)

32.91% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.51% (

0.4)

69.49% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Heracles 61.76%

Jong FC Utrecht 18.37%

Draw 19.87%

Heracles	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.67% Total : 61.76%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.87%	1-2 @ 5% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 18.37%