Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Jan Louwers Stadion
Heracles Almelo

FC Eindhoven
1 - 0
Heracles

Rottier (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between FC Eindhoven and Heracles.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Eindhoven

All competitions
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 4-1 Den Bosch
Monday, January 16 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Heracles

All competitions
Last Game: Heracles 0-3 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Eindhoven in this match.

Result
FC EindhovenDrawHeracles
37.72% (0.061 0.06)25.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)36.65% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.56% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52% (-0.073 -0.07)48.48% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)70.6% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
FC Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83%25.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11%59.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)25.75% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (-0.105 -0.1)60.69% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    FC Eindhoven 37.72%
    Heracles 36.65%
    Draw 25.62%
FC EindhovenDrawHeracles
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 37.72%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.65%

How you voted: FC Eindhoven vs Heracles

FC Eindhoven
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
Heracles
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 7pm
Heracles
3-0
FC Eindhoven
Hoogma (26'), Les (33'), Rente (61')

Brym (40')