Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 21

Feb 13, 2023 at 7pm UK

De Geusselt

MVV
0 - 2
Heracles

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ouahim (3', 54')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Heracles.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions

Last Game: MVV 5-1 Oss
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: VVV-Venlo 3-1 Heracles
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Heracles
23.98% ( 3.11)	22.57% ( 0.77)	53.45% ( -3.87)

Both teams to score 58.68% (

1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.88% (

0.21)

41.12% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.48% (

0.21)

63.52% (

-0.21)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.36% (

2.88)

30.64% (

-2.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.12% (

3.28)

66.88% (

-3.27)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.6% (

-1.19)

15.4% (

1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.79% (

-2.27)

44.21% (

2.28)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 23.98%

Heracles 53.45%

Draw 22.57%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.62) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.27) Other @ 2.9% Total : 23.98%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.57%	1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.81) 1-3 @ 6.09% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.75) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.47) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.16) 0-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.85% Total : 53.45%