Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt
De Graafschap

MVV
2 - 2
De Graafschap

Souren (43'), van Bommel (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brittijn (24'), Fortes (90')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and De Graafschap.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: VVV-Venlo 2-1 MVV
Sunday, December 11 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last Game: De Graafschap 0-3 Willem II
Friday, December 16 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 53.26%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawDe Graafschap
24.29% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.26% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)40.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)29.92% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.03% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.23% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)43.77% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 24.29%
    De Graafschap 53.26%
    Draw 22.45%
MVV MaastrichtDrawDe Graafschap
2-1 @ 6.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 5.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 24.29%
1-1 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 5.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.69%
1-4 @ 2.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 53.26%

How you voted: MVV vs De Graafschap

MVV Maastricht
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
De Graafschap
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 7pm
De Graafschap
1-3
MVV
Brittijn (11')
Gravenberch (83')
Lake (9'), Remans (56'), Blummel (74')
Lake (33'), Keulen (69'), Zeegers (79'), Remans (83')
Aug 13, 2021 7pm
MVV
1-3
De Graafschap
Blummel (23')
Delferriere (77')
Konings (13'), Korte (26'), Opoku (78' pen.)
Verbeek (45+2')
Feb 13, 2021 1.15pm
De Graafschap
1-0
MVV
Tutuarima (33')
Dec 4, 2020 5.45pm
MVV
2-3
De Graafschap
Schroyen (11', 71')
Mares (30'), Naudts (84'), Deom (85')
Seuntjens (18'), Van Heertum (50'), Lieftink (83')
Neghli (86')
Jan 24, 2020 7pm
De Graafschap
3-2
MVV
Van Mieghem (3'), Owusu (14'), Nijland (46')
Van den Hurk (18'), Holtby (63')
Last (92')