Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.