De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Vijverberg
Willem II

De Graafschap
0 - 3
Willem II

FT(HT: 0-1)
Kabangu (23'), Hillen (77' og.), Svensson (89')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Willem II.

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last Game: De Graafschap 1-2 FC Eindhoven
Sunday, December 11 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Willem II

All competitions
Last Game: Willem II 1-2 NAC Breda
Sunday, December 11 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
De GraafschapDrawWillem II
37.93% (0.033000000000001 0.03)25.24% (0.029 0.03)36.83% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.9% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.24% (-0.139 -0.14)46.76% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98% (-0.13 -0.13)69.02% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)24.27% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.36% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)58.63% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)24.86% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (-0.139 -0.14)59.47% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 37.93%
    Willem II 36.83%
    Draw 25.24%
De GraafschapDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 36.83%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2019 7.45pm
Willem II
3-2
De Graafschap
Isak (13', 22'), Lewis (64')
Vrousai (85')
Straalman (33'), El Jebli (70' pen.)
van de Pavert (21'), Bakker (75'), El Jebli (92'), van Mieghem (92')
Sep 30, 2018 1.30pm
De Graafschap
2-1
Willem II
Nijland (21'), Lewis (89' og.)
Abena (57')
Saddiki (49')
Dankerlui (11'), Heerkens (20'), Palacios (27'), Lewis (33')
Akkaynak (18'), Palacios (64')
Feb 13, 2016 6.45pm
Willem II
0-0
De Graafschap

Kaak (31'), Cicek (63')
Sep 27, 2015 11.30am
De Graafschap
2-2
Willem II
Peters (68' pen.), Vermeij (90')
Bannink (35'), Hammes (64')
Bannink (65')
Falkenburg (41', 43')
Ojo (7')
> Match Report