Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.