Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Rabobank IJmond Stadion

Telstar
5 - 3
MVV

Giousis (20'), Smit (28', 34', 49'), Plet (87')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Steuckers (24'), Kostons (56'), Van Helden (60')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Telstar

All competitions
Last Game: Dordrecht 0-0 Telstar
Saturday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Eerste Divisie

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-1 MVV
Friday, January 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.

Result
TelstarDrawMVV Maastricht
50.72% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)24.36%24.92% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.76% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.88% (0.033000000000001 0.03)48.12% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (0.032 0.03)70.28% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)50.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (0.057000000000002 0.06)33.64% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (0.063000000000002 0.06)70.29% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 50.72%
    MVV Maastricht 24.92%
    Draw 24.36%
TelstarDrawMVV Maastricht
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 50.72%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0039999999999998 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 24.92%

How you voted: Telstar vs MVV

Telstar
50.0%
Draw
28.6%
MVV Maastricht
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2022 7pm
Telstar
2-1
MVV
Plet (8'), Aktas (26')
Molenaar (73'), Smit (90+1')
Essers (90+1')
Essers (45+2'), Dzepar (45+2'), Zeegers (63'), Delferriere (75'), Mami (90+3')
Sep 5, 2021 1.30pm
MVV
3-0
Telstar
Remans (13', 22'), Blummel (39')
Kleinen (11'), Zeegers (34')

Kokcu (54')
Feb 26, 2021 5.45pm
MVV
2-0
Telstar
Surmeli (50'), Angiulli (90+5')
Surmeli (54')

van Wetten (18'), Adshead (48'), F (86'), Pattynama (90+1')
Sep 13, 2020 7pm
Telstar
1-2
MVV
Plet (64')
Vandermeulen (42')
Duin (42' pen.), Kostons (89')
Heerings (52'), Lathouwers (90+7')
Feb 21, 2020 7pm
Telstar
2-1
MVV
Kharchouch (53', 79')
Bronkhorst (11'), Korpershoek (44')
Van den Hurk (12' pen.)
Schroyen (59'), Martina (82'), Kot (88'), van den Hurk (90')
Martina (90')