Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Toekomst

Jong Ajax
0 - 2
Almere City

FT(HT: 0-1)
Hilterman (40'), Duijvestijn (48' pen.)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Almere City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last Game: NAC Breda 2-6 Jong Ajax
Monday, March 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Almere City

All competitions
Last Game: Almere City 1-3 VVV-Venlo
Monday, March 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawAlmere City
35.49% (1.008 1.01)23.72% (0.161 0.16)40.8% (-1.164 -1.16)
Both teams to score 62.31% (-0.355 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32% (-0.564 -0.56)39.68% (0.569 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97% (-0.59 -0.59)62.03% (0.595 0.59)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65% (0.27800000000001 0.28)22.35% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (0.414 0.41)55.83% (-0.41 -0.41)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.24% (-0.746 -0.75)19.76% (0.75 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.2% (-1.229 -1.23)51.8% (1.234 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 35.49%
    Almere City 40.8%
    Draw 23.71%
Jong AjaxDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.154 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.226 0.23)
2-0 @ 4.96% (0.208 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 35.49%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.116 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.81% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.14% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 40.8%

How you voted: Jong Ajax vs Almere City

Jong Ajax
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
Almere City
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 7pm
Almere City
2-3
Jong Ajax
Royo (27'), Hilterman (51')
Pena (53')
Rasmussen (20'), Lucca (36'), Martha (78')
Feb 21, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-3
Almere City
Unuvar (36')
Llansana (44')
Puriel (11', 54'), Wildeboer (28')
Receveur (73'), Esajas (78'), Jacobs (90+4')
Sep 17, 2021 7pm
Almere City
2-4
Jong Ajax
Duijvestijn (11'), Wildeboer (88')
Woud (82')
Kudus (20'), De Waal (55' pen., 77', 83')
Musampa (87'), van Gelderen (90+4')
Apr 30, 2021 7pm
Almere City
1-0
Jong Ajax
Yeboah (75')
Tunga (39'), Woud (45+1'), Hammouti (71'), Lesquoy (83')

Hansen (45+1'), Fitz-Jim (66'), Regeer (87')
Fitz-Jim (90+1')
Oct 30, 2020 5.45pm
Jong Ajax
1-4
Almere City
Taylor (57' pen.)
Tasci (80'), Douglas (84')
Kasanwirjo (2' og.), Verheydt (3'), Sorensen (25'), Helstrup (56')
Mannes (34'), Receveur (58')