Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	VVV-Venlo
37.29% ( -0.16)	23.17% ( -0.05)	39.54% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 64.67% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.29% (

0.22)

36.71% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.12% (

0.24)

58.88% (

-0.24)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

0.02)

20.1% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65% (

0.03)

52.35% (

-0.03)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.94% (

0.19)

19.06% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.35% (

0.31)

50.65% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Almere City 37.29%

VVV-Venlo 39.54%

Draw 23.16%

Almere City	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 37.29%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.16%	1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 39.54%