Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for VVV-Venlo in this match.